Saturday, August 30, 2008

New Power Source...New Orleans Storm Surge!

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

ST. MARY AND IBERIA PARISHES.

AT THE PRESENT FORECAST TRACK OF GUSTAV MAKING LANDFALL OR
PARALLELING THE COAST OF ST. MARY PARISH...A STORM SURGE OF 5 TO
10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS IBERIA
AND ST. MARY PARISHES MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

IN THE WORST CASE SCENARIO OF GUSTAV MAKING LANDFALL FURTHER WEST
INTO VERMILION PARISH AT A CATEGORY FOUR...A STORM SURGE OF 15 TO
20 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR AND JUST
TO THE RIGHT OF THE EYE LANDFALL MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. AT
THESE LEVELS...ALL OF ST. MARY PARISH WILL LIKELY BE INUNDATED
WITH STORM SURGE...WITH IBERIA PARISH INUNDATED EXCEPT THE EXTREME
NORTHERN PORTION OF THE PARISH WEST OF NEW IBERIA ALONG U.S.
HIGHWAY 90 AND LA 182. AGAIN...THIS IS A WORST CASE BUT POSSIBLE
SCENARIO.

VERMILION AND CAMERON PARISHES.

AT THE PRESENT FORECAST TRACK OF GUSTAV MAKING LANDFALL FURTHER
EAST ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...A STORM SURGE OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS VERMILION PARISH...4
TO 5 FEET ACROSS CAMERON PARISH ON TUESDAY.

IN THE WORST CASE SCENARIO OF GUSTAV MAKING LANDFALL FURTHER WEST
ACROSS CAMERON PARISH AT A CATEGORY FOUR...A STORM SURGE OF 15 TO
20 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR AND JUST TO
THE RIGHT OF THE EYE LANDFALL LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. AT
THESE LEVELS...MOST OF VERMILION PARISH WILL LIKELY BE INUNDATED
WITH STORM SURGE PAST LA 14 AND UP TO LA 82. THESE LEVELS WOULD
LIKELY SURPASS HURRICANE RITA'S STORM SURGE VALUES. AGAIN...THIS
IS A WORST CASE BUT POSSIBLE SCENARIO.

JEFFERSON COUNTY.

AT THE PRESENT FORECAST TRACK OF GUSTAV MAKING LANDFALL ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 4 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS JEFFERSON COUNTY AFTER
THE CENTER IS WELL INLAND...AND THE ONSHORE FLOW BECOMES
ESTABLISHED ON TUESDAY.

...WINDS...

ON GUSTAV'S CURRENT PATH...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN IMPACTING THE LOUISIANA COAST NEAR MORGAN CITY
AFTER MIDNIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT...THEN CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND AS
GUSTAV MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
IMPACT THE MORGAN CITY 0AREA BY MID MORNING MONDAY...AND THE NEW
IBERIA AREA BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON MONDAY.

HURRICANE GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH
CENTRAL LOUISIANA COAST AROUND NOON MONDAY AS AN EXTREMELY
DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 150 MPH
AND GUSTS UP TO 180 MPH.

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